Every race at Pontefract in the OddsLens results database from 8 April 2025 to 19 October 2026: 228 flat races, 1,800 runners at official starting price. What the numbers say, recomputed every week and never edited by hand.
Across 228 races the favourite won 41.4% of the time (103 of 249 bets, joint favourites counted separately) and £1 on every one returned a profit of 13.8p in the pound. The same bet at every UK and Irish course on the flat over the same window won 32.9% and lost 11.6p in the pound. That makes Pontefract one of the few courses where backing every favourite on the flat has not lost money in this window, on a sample this size; a tendency, not a system.
| Ground | Races | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Good or faster | 171 | 41.7% | +14.6% |
| Soft or heavy | 57 | 40.3% | +11.2% |
Flat races with eight or more runners, each field split into thirds by stall number, and the winners counted. A third that wins more than its share of the runners is where the stalls have helped.
| Stalls | Share of runners | Share of winners |
|---|---|---|
| Lowest third | 36.5% | 29.7% |
| Middle third | 34.0% | 36.5% |
| Highest third | 29.4% | 33.8% |
Over five and six furlongs the thirds have won roughly in proportion to their numbers: no draw bias worth the name. (74 races.) Thirds are by stall number, so the lowest third holds the spare runner when a field does not divide by three; that is why the runner shares are unequal.
Trainers and jockeys with at least 15 runners and four winners here in the window. Strike rate is wins over runs; the return is £1 on every runner at SP. Thirty runs is a small sample, and the yards with the best strike rates are usually the yards with the best horses everywhere.
| Trainer | Wins / runs | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Easterby | 17 / 147 | 11.6% | −40.1% |
| Ruth Carr | 14 / 62 | 22.6% | +80.5% |
| William Haggas | 8 / 17 | 47.1% | +8.3% |
| Brian Ellison | 8 / 32 | 25.0% | +22.9% |
| K R Burke | 7 / 24 | 29.2% | +4.5% |
| John & Sean Quinn | 7 / 29 | 24.1% | +90.2% |
| David O'Meara | 7 / 55 | 12.7% | −32.9% |
| Paul Midgley | 7 / 61 | 11.5% | +6.1% |
| Jockey | Wins / runs | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Tudhope | 19 / 72 | 26.4% | −6.6% |
| Jason Hart | 18 / 98 | 18.4% | +7.8% |
| Joanna Mason | 13 / 71 | 18.3% | +9.9% |
| David Allan | 12 / 106 | 11.3% | −46.4% |
| David Nolan | 8 / 50 | 16.0% | +67.5% |
| Clifford Lee | 7 / 28 | 25.0% | −5.9% |
| Rowan Scott | 7 / 32 | 21.9% | −20.3% |
| Cam Hardie | 7 / 52 | 13.5% | −15.9% |
Since 21 April 2026 the OddsLens model has made 101 calls at Pontefract, each logged before the off with the best price at that moment. 31 won, a 30.7% strike rate, for a −1.4% return at the logged prices and an average closing line value of +6.0%. That makes Pontefract about par for the model so far; every one of those calls, and every call to come, sits on the public record, wins and losses alike.
Method. Every settled race at Pontefract in the OddsLens results database from 8 April 2025 to 19 October 2026 (official returns, starting price, non-runners excluded). "Favourite" means the shortest starting price in the race; joint favourites are each backed for £1. Ground is the official going for the meeting: soft, heavy and their variants against everything else. The draw study uses flat races with at least eight drawn runners, in two bands (five to six and a half furlongs; seven furlongs to a mile and half a furlong), each field split into thirds by stall number. Big handicaps are races with "handicap" in the title and 14 or more runners at SP. The OddsLens record is the public ledger only (no shadow models), settled calls, at the prices logged before the off. Sections with too few races to say anything true are left out. Recomputed weekly; this page was built on 26 October 2026.