Every race at Newton Abbot in the OddsLens results database from 10 April 2025 to 17 October 2026: 15 flat races and 211 jumps races, 1,422 runners at official starting price. What the numbers say, recomputed every week and never edited by hand.
Across 211 races the favourite won 44.9% of the time (101 of 225 bets, joint favourites counted separately) and £1 on every one returned a profit of 3.1p in the pound. The same bet at every UK and Irish course over jumps over the same window won 35.1% and lost 10.7p in the pound. That makes Newton Abbot one of the few courses where backing every favourite over jumps has not lost money in this window, on a sample this size; a tendency, not a system.
| Ground | Races | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Good or faster | 157 | 46.3% | +6.6% |
| Soft or heavy | 54 | 41.0% | −6.3% |
Trainers and jockeys with at least 15 runners and four winners here in the window. Strike rate is wins over runs; the return is £1 on every runner at SP. Thirty runs is a small sample, and the yards with the best strike rates are usually the yards with the best horses everywhere.
| Trainer | Wins / runs | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Skelton | 26 / 69 | 37.7% | +13.2% |
| Paul Nicholls | 21 / 59 | 35.6% | +25.3% |
| Joe Tizzard | 12 / 65 | 18.5% | −21.4% |
| Anthony Honeyball | 11 / 45 | 24.4% | −0.8% |
| Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies | 7 / 30 | 23.3% | −20.9% |
| Mickey Bowen | 5 / 23 | 21.7% | −38.8% |
| Nick Scholfield | 5 / 23 | 21.7% | +39.1% |
| David Pipe | 5 / 26 | 19.2% | +46.2% |
| Jockey | Wins / runs | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Skelton | 21 / 54 | 38.9% | −3.3% |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 14 / 58 | 24.1% | −9.4% |
| Freddie Gingell | 13 / 36 | 36.1% | +43.6% |
| Harry Cobden | 11 / 34 | 32.4% | +38.1% |
| Callum Pritchard | 7 / 33 | 21.2% | +5.2% |
| Jack Tudor | 7 / 42 | 16.7% | +17.3% |
| Brendan Powell | 6 / 56 | 10.7% | −50.8% |
| Kielan Woods | 5 / 16 | 31.3% | +6.8% |
Since 14 April 2026 the OddsLens model has made 93 calls at Newton Abbot, each logged before the off with the best price at that moment. 31 won, a 33.3% strike rate, for a −4.4% return at the logged prices and an average closing line value of +7.8%. That makes Newton Abbot one of the model's weaker tracks so far; every one of those calls, and every call to come, sits on the public record, wins and losses alike.
Method. Every settled race at Newton Abbot in the OddsLens results database from 10 April 2025 to 17 October 2026 (official returns, starting price, non-runners excluded). "Favourite" means the shortest starting price in the race; joint favourites are each backed for £1. Ground is the official going for the meeting: soft, heavy and their variants against everything else. The draw study uses flat races with at least eight drawn runners, in two bands (five to six and a half furlongs; seven furlongs to a mile and half a furlong), each field split into thirds by stall number. Big handicaps are races with "handicap" in the title and 14 or more runners at SP. The OddsLens record is the public ledger only (no shadow models), settled calls, at the prices logged before the off. Sections with too few races to say anything true are left out. Recomputed weekly; this page was built on 26 October 2026.