Every race at Hereford in the OddsLens results database from 26 March 2025 to 12 May 2026: 12 flat races and 126 jumps races, 1,063 runners at official starting price. What the numbers say, recomputed every week and never edited by hand.
Across 126 races the favourite won 37.2% of the time (51 of 137 bets, joint favourites counted separately) and £1 on every one lost 13.6p in the pound. The same bet at every UK and Irish course over jumps over the same window won 35.2% and lost 10.3p in the pound. Favourites here have been a worse bet than the national picture.
| Ground | Races | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Good or faster | 81 | 36.0% | −15.0% |
| Soft or heavy | 45 | 39.2% | −11.1% |
Trainers and jockeys with at least 15 runners and four winners here in the window. Strike rate is wins over runs; the return is £1 on every runner at SP. Thirty runs is a small sample, and the yards with the best strike rates are usually the yards with the best horses everywhere.
| Trainer | Wins / runs | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Snowden | 8 / 19 | 42.1% | +23.5% |
| Evan Williams | 7 / 42 | 16.7% | −22.8% |
| Neil Mulholland | 5 / 15 | 33.3% | −15.8% |
| Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls | 5 / 15 | 33.3% | −29.0% |
| Warren Greatrex | 4 / 15 | 26.7% | −7.5% |
| Jockey | Wins / runs | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheehan | 6 / 20 | 30.0% | −32.2% |
| Tom Bellamy | 6 / 25 | 24.0% | −48.2% |
| James Bowen | 6 / 29 | 20.7% | −6.0% |
| Ciaran Gethings | 4 / 20 | 20.0% | +26.3% |
Fewer than 20 settled calls at Hereford so far (15), so no number worth quoting yet. Every call is on the public record as it settles.
Method. Every settled race at Hereford in the OddsLens results database from 26 March 2025 to 12 May 2026 (official returns, starting price, non-runners excluded). "Favourite" means the shortest starting price in the race; joint favourites are each backed for £1. Ground is the official going for the meeting: soft, heavy and their variants against everything else. The draw study uses flat races with at least eight drawn runners, in two bands (five to six and a half furlongs; seven furlongs to a mile and half a furlong), each field split into thirds by stall number. Big handicaps are races with "handicap" in the title and 14 or more runners at SP. The OddsLens record is the public ledger only (no shadow models), settled calls, at the prices logged before the off. Sections with too few races to say anything true are left out. Recomputed weekly; this page was built on 10 September 2026.