OddsLens
Course guide · Fairyhouse · Ireland · updated 10 September 2026

Fairyhouse racecourse: favourites, the draw, and who wins there

Every race at Fairyhouse in the OddsLens results database from 6 April 2025 to 8 July 2026: 91 flat races and 119 jumps races, 2,572 runners at official starting price. What the numbers say, recomputed every week and never edited by hand.

31.3%
Favourites' strike rate over jumps · 119 races
−9.2%
£1 on every favourite here
−10.3%
Same bet at every course · 6,519 races

Favourites at Fairyhouse

Favourites over jumps

Across 119 races the favourite won 31.3% of the time (41 of 131 bets, joint favourites counted separately) and £1 on every one lost 9.2p in the pound. The same bet at every UK and Irish course over jumps over the same window won 35.2% and lost 10.3p in the pound. Much the same as everywhere else.

Favourites on the flat

Across 91 races the favourite won 25.3% of the time (25 of 99 bets, joint favourites counted separately) and £1 on every one lost 31.4p in the pound. The same bet at every UK and Irish course on the flat over the same window won 32.9% and lost 11.7p in the pound. Favourites here have been a worse bet than the national picture.

Big-field handicaps

Big-field handicaps over jumps

29 handicaps with 14 or more runners, an average field of 18.0. The winner's average starting price was about 16/1; 17 winners came in at 10/1 or bigger and 8 at 20/1 or bigger. Favourites won 7 of 31 and £1 on each returned a profit of 3.9p in the pound — on a small sample.

Big-field handicaps on the flat

24 handicaps with 14 or more runners, an average field of 16.6. The winner's average starting price was about 11/1; 8 winners came in at 10/1 or bigger and 5 at 20/1 or bigger. Favourites won 5 of 27 and £1 on each lost 35.4p in the pound — on a small sample.

Who wins at Fairyhouse

Trainers and jockeys with at least 15 runners and four winners here in the window. Strike rate is wins over runs; the return is £1 on every runner at SP. Thirty runs is a small sample, and the yards with the best strike rates are usually the yards with the best horses everywhere.

Over jumps

TrainerWins / runsStrike rate£1 return
W P Mullins19 / 13614.0%−29.8%
Gordon Elliott17 / 15211.2%−9.8%
Ian Patrick Donoghue5 / 3713.5%−16.2%
Noel Meade4 / 1822.2%−17.5%
JockeyWins / runsStrike rate£1 return
Jack Kennedy14 / 5425.9%−31.5%
Mark Walsh14 / 5724.6%+6.4%
Darragh O'Keeffe9 / 5317.0%+226.4%
Paul Townend8 / 3324.2%+9.8%
Donagh Meyler8 / 4916.3%−2.6%
Sean Flanagan4 / 429.5%−48.6%

On the flat

TrainerWins / runsStrike rate£1 return
Joseph Patrick O'Brien11 / 4922.4%+64.3%
J P Murtagh9 / 3625.0%+53.9%
W P Mullins6 / 2227.3%−2.1%
Gavin Cromwell5 / 3016.7%−4.2%
Gordon Elliott4 / 1625.0%−13.4%
JockeyWins / runsStrike rate£1 return
Ben Coen10 / 3727.0%+68.6%
Dylan Browne McMonagle7 / 1838.9%+146.6%
Colin Keane7 / 3520.0%+14.1%
W J Lee7 / 3917.9%+33.1%
J M Sheridan6 / 3020.0%+67.4%
Gary Carroll4 / 3611.1%−36.4%

OddsLens at Fairyhouse

Since 28 May 2026 the OddsLens model has made 34 calls at Fairyhouse, each logged before the off with the best price at that moment. 7 won, a 20.6% strike rate, for a −25.3% return at the logged prices and an average closing line value of +7.0%. That makes Fairyhouse one of the model's weaker tracks so far; every one of those calls, and every call to come, sits on the public record, wins and losses alike.

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Method. Every settled race at Fairyhouse in the OddsLens results database from 6 April 2025 to 8 July 2026 (official returns, starting price, non-runners excluded). "Favourite" means the shortest starting price in the race; joint favourites are each backed for £1. Ground is the official going for the meeting: soft, heavy and their variants against everything else. The draw study uses flat races with at least eight drawn runners, in two bands (five to six and a half furlongs; seven furlongs to a mile and half a furlong), each field split into thirds by stall number. Big handicaps are races with "handicap" in the title and 14 or more runners at SP. The OddsLens record is the public ledger only (no shadow models), settled calls, at the prices logged before the off. Sections with too few races to say anything true are left out. Recomputed weekly; this page was built on 10 September 2026.