Every race at Down Royal in the OddsLens results database from 17 March 2025 to 4 September 2026: 89 flat races and 78 jumps races, 1,777 runners at official starting price. What the numbers say, recomputed every week and never edited by hand.
Across 89 races the favourite won 33.0% of the time (33 of 100 bets, joint favourites counted separately) and £1 on every one lost 1.5p in the pound. The same bet at every UK and Irish course on the flat over the same window won 32.9% and lost 11.7p in the pound. Favourites here lose less than the national picture.
Across 78 races the favourite won 32.2% of the time (28 of 87 bets, joint favourites counted separately) and £1 on every one lost 20.1p in the pound. The same bet at every UK and Irish course over jumps over the same window won 35.2% and lost 10.3p in the pound. Favourites here have been a worse bet than the national picture.
15 handicaps with 14 or more runners, an average field of 14.0. The winner's average starting price was about 8/1; 4 winners came in at 10/1 or bigger and 0 at 20/1 or bigger. Favourites won 2 of 16 and £1 on each lost 39.1p in the pound — on a small sample.
14 handicaps with 14 or more runners, an average field of 17.3. The winner's average starting price was about 12/1; 7 winners came in at 10/1 or bigger and 2 at 20/1 or bigger. Favourites won 1 of 14 and £1 on each lost 71.4p in the pound — on a small sample.
Trainers and jockeys with at least 15 runners and four winners here in the window. Strike rate is wins over runs; the return is £1 on every runner at SP. Thirty runs is a small sample, and the yards with the best strike rates are usually the yards with the best horses everywhere.
| Trainer | Wins / runs | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 12 / 41 | 29.3% | −8.8% |
| Miss Natalia Lupini | 4 / 25 | 16.0% | +17.5% |
| Noel Meade | 4 / 28 | 14.3% | +13.9% |
| Jockey | Wins / runs | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| W J Lee | 9 / 45 | 20.0% | −10.3% |
| Dylan Browne McMonagle | 6 / 25 | 24.0% | −22.7% |
| Gary Carroll | 5 / 42 | 11.9% | −19.0% |
| J M Sheridan | 4 / 22 | 18.2% | −47.1% |
| Colin Keane | 4 / 23 | 17.4% | −26.6% |
| Chris Hayes | 4 / 32 | 12.5% | −14.8% |
| Trainer | Wins / runs | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Elliott | 19 / 95 | 20.0% | −9.3% |
| Henry De Bromhead | 8 / 22 | 36.4% | +49.3% |
| Jockey | Wins / runs | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Gilligan | 7 / 23 | 30.4% | +32.6% |
| Jack Kennedy | 7 / 32 | 21.9% | −53.0% |
| Darragh O'Keeffe | 6 / 22 | 27.3% | +49.9% |
| Danny Mullins | 4 / 18 | 22.2% | +670.6% |
| J J Slevin | 4 / 24 | 16.7% | +57.1% |
Since 12 April 2026 the OddsLens model has made 37 calls at Down Royal, each logged before the off with the best price at that moment. 11 won, a 29.7% strike rate, for a −3.1% return at the logged prices and an average closing line value of +4.1%. That makes Down Royal one of the model's weaker tracks so far; every one of those calls, and every call to come, sits on the public record, wins and losses alike.
Method. Every settled race at Down Royal in the OddsLens results database from 17 March 2025 to 4 September 2026 (official returns, starting price, non-runners excluded). "Favourite" means the shortest starting price in the race; joint favourites are each backed for £1. Ground is the official going for the meeting: soft, heavy and their variants against everything else. The draw study uses flat races with at least eight drawn runners, in two bands (five to six and a half furlongs; seven furlongs to a mile and half a furlong), each field split into thirds by stall number. Big handicaps are races with "handicap" in the title and 14 or more runners at SP. The OddsLens record is the public ledger only (no shadow models), settled calls, at the prices logged before the off. Sections with too few races to say anything true are left out. Recomputed weekly; this page was built on 10 September 2026.