Every race at Chelmsford in the OddsLens results database from 27 March 2025 to 26 March 2026: 314 flat races, 2,681 runners at official starting price. What the numbers say, recomputed every week and never edited by hand.
Across 314 races the favourite won 31.6% of the time (106 of 335 bets, joint favourites counted separately) and £1 on every one lost 17.9p in the pound. The same bet at every UK and Irish course on the flat (including the all-weather track) over the same window won 32.9% and lost 11.7p in the pound. Favourites here have been a worse bet than the national picture.
Flat races with eight or more runners, each field split into thirds by stall number, and the winners counted. A third that wins more than its share of the runners is where the stalls have helped.
| Stalls | Share of runners | Share of winners |
|---|---|---|
| Lowest third | 36.1% | 47.5% |
| Middle third | 33.9% | 32.8% |
| Highest third | 30.0% | 23.0% |
| Stalls | Share of runners | Share of winners |
|---|---|---|
| Lowest third | 36.3% | 50.5% |
| Middle third | 33.4% | 33.0% |
| Highest third | 30.3% | 18.7% |
Over five and six furlongs the low stalls have won 47.5% of the races from 36.1% of the runners: a real lean to low. (61 races.) Over seven furlongs to a mile the low stalls have won 50.5% of the races from 36.3% of the runners: a real lean to low. (91 races.) Thirds are by stall number, so the lowest third holds the spare runner when a field does not divide by three; that is why the runner shares are unequal.
Trainers and jockeys with at least 15 runners and four winners here in the window. Strike rate is wins over runs; the return is £1 on every runner at SP. Thirty runs is a small sample, and the yards with the best strike rates are usually the yards with the best horses everywhere.
| Trainer | Wins / runs | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Johnston | 13 / 73 | 17.8% | +19.9% |
| John & Thady Gosden | 11 / 25 | 44.0% | +53.2% |
| Richard Hughes | 11 / 46 | 23.9% | −4.8% |
| Stuart Williams | 11 / 81 | 13.6% | +7.3% |
| James Owen | 9 / 72 | 12.5% | −52.8% |
| Michael Appleby | 8 / 40 | 20.0% | +8.6% |
| Ian Williams | 8 / 44 | 18.2% | +14.8% |
| Richard Hannon | 8 / 45 | 17.8% | −10.1% |
| Jockey | Wins / runs | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Morris | 16 / 102 | 15.7% | +13.5% |
| Billy Loughnane | 13 / 51 | 25.5% | −6.2% |
| Hector Crouch | 11 / 60 | 18.3% | −53.6% |
| Callum Shepherd | 10 / 37 | 27.0% | +63.7% |
| Harry Davies | 10 / 49 | 20.4% | +66.0% |
| Marco Ghiani | 10 / 56 | 17.9% | −4.2% |
| Hollie Doyle | 10 / 82 | 12.2% | +16.5% |
| Dylan Hogan | 8 / 56 | 14.3% | −33.4% |
Fewer than 20 settled calls at Chelmsford so far, so no number worth quoting yet. Every call is on the public record as it settles.
Method. Every settled race at Chelmsford in the OddsLens results database from 27 March 2025 to 26 March 2026 (official returns, starting price, non-runners excluded; the course's all-weather track counts as flat). "Favourite" means the shortest starting price in the race; joint favourites are each backed for £1. Ground is the official going for the meeting: soft, heavy and their variants against everything else. The draw study uses flat races with at least eight drawn runners, in two bands (five to six and a half furlongs; seven furlongs to a mile and half a furlong), each field split into thirds by stall number. Big handicaps are races with "handicap" in the title and 14 or more runners at SP. The OddsLens record is the public ledger only (no shadow models), settled calls, at the prices logged before the off. Sections with too few races to say anything true are left out. Recomputed weekly; this page was built on 10 September 2026.