Every race at Catterick in the OddsLens results database from 9 April 2025 to 17 October 2026: 218 flat races and 54 jumps races, 2,207 runners at official starting price. What the numbers say, recomputed every week and never edited by hand.
Across 218 races the favourite won 36.4% of the time (86 of 236 bets, joint favourites counted separately) and £1 on every one lost 4.4p in the pound. The same bet at every UK and Irish course on the flat over the same window won 32.9% and lost 11.6p in the pound. Favourites here lose less than the national picture.
| Ground | Races | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Good or faster | 184 | 36.7% | −4.2% |
| Soft or heavy | 34 | 35.1% | −5.5% |
Across 54 races the favourite won 44.8% of the time (26 of 58 bets, joint favourites counted separately) and £1 on every one returned a profit of 17.3p in the pound. The same bet at every UK and Irish course over jumps over the same window won 35.1% and lost 10.7p in the pound. That makes Catterick one of the few courses where backing every favourite over jumps has not lost money in this window, on a sample this size; a tendency, not a system.
Flat races with eight or more runners, each field split into thirds by stall number, and the winners counted. A third that wins more than its share of the runners is where the stalls have helped.
| Stalls | Share of runners | Share of winners |
|---|---|---|
| Lowest third | 36.4% | 66.1% |
| Middle third | 34.4% | 17.7% |
| Highest third | 29.2% | 16.1% |
| Stalls | Share of runners | Share of winners |
|---|---|---|
| Lowest third | 36.8% | 50.0% |
| Middle third | 33.4% | 30.4% |
| Highest third | 29.8% | 19.6% |
Over five and six furlongs the low stalls have won 66.1% of the races from 36.4% of the runners: a real lean to low. (62 races.) Over seven furlongs to a mile the low stalls have won 50.0% of the races from 36.8% of the runners: a real lean to low. (46 races.) Thirds are by stall number, so the lowest third holds the spare runner when a field does not divide by three; that is why the runner shares are unequal.
Trainers and jockeys with at least 15 runners and four winners here in the window. Strike rate is wins over runs; the return is £1 on every runner at SP. Thirty runs is a small sample, and the yards with the best strike rates are usually the yards with the best horses everywhere.
| Trainer | Wins / runs | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Easterby | 26 / 160 | 16.3% | −8.0% |
| Ruth Carr | 10 / 53 | 18.9% | +15.7% |
| Edward Bethell | 6 / 30 | 20.0% | −33.1% |
| Michael Dods | 6 / 40 | 15.0% | −10.8% |
| John David Riches | 5 / 21 | 23.8% | +30.1% |
| Dylan Cunha | 4 / 15 | 26.7% | +9.2% |
| Tristan Davidson | 4 / 22 | 18.2% | −14.8% |
| Declan Carroll | 4 / 29 | 13.8% | +146.6% |
| Jockey | Wins / runs | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Allan | 17 / 95 | 17.9% | −13.9% |
| Jason Hart | 13 / 83 | 15.7% | −7.1% |
| Sean Kirrane | 8 / 40 | 20.0% | −8.6% |
| Connor Beasley | 8 / 41 | 19.5% | +4.5% |
| Luke Morris | 6 / 17 | 35.3% | −2.6% |
| Callum Rodriguez | 6 / 22 | 27.3% | −30.2% |
| James Sullivan | 6 / 36 | 16.7% | +54.7% |
| Paul Mulrennan | 6 / 36 | 16.7% | +51.1% |
| Trainer | Wins / runs | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonjo & A J O'Neill | 6 / 15 | 40.0% | +96.7% |
| Donald McCain | 5 / 23 | 21.7% | +73.2% |
| Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith | 4 / 17 | 23.5% | +8.5% |
| Sam England | 4 / 18 | 22.2% | +1.4% |
| Jockey | Wins / runs | Strike rate | £1 return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Hughes | 4 / 29 | 13.8% | −60.5% |
Since 22 April 2026 the OddsLens model has made 95 calls at Catterick, each logged before the off with the best price at that moment. 29 won, a 30.5% strike rate, for a −0.9% return at the logged prices and an average closing line value of +10.5%. That makes Catterick about par for the model so far; every one of those calls, and every call to come, sits on the public record, wins and losses alike.
Method. Every settled race at Catterick in the OddsLens results database from 9 April 2025 to 17 October 2026 (official returns, starting price, non-runners excluded). "Favourite" means the shortest starting price in the race; joint favourites are each backed for £1. Ground is the official going for the meeting: soft, heavy and their variants against everything else. The draw study uses flat races with at least eight drawn runners, in two bands (five to six and a half furlongs; seven furlongs to a mile and half a furlong), each field split into thirds by stall number. Big handicaps are races with "handicap" in the title and 14 or more runners at SP. The OddsLens record is the public ledger only (no shadow models), settled calls, at the prices logged before the off. Sections with too few races to say anything true are left out. Recomputed weekly; this page was built on 26 October 2026.